SECOND District Representative Erico Aristotle “Aris” C. Aumentado is leading the race for governor in the upcoming May 9, 2022 against his opponent, current Bohol Governor Arthur C. Yap, in a survey conducted across the province from April 9-13, 2022 by an independent survey firm from Manila. The survey has a sample size of 2,700 or 900 per district and has a margin of error of +/-1.9% whole Bohol and +/-3.3% per district.
According to Jojo Carlom, Senior Research Manager of Spheres Research Services that conducted the Pre-election survey, Aris is the frontrunner by 57% against Yap’s 40%, the late Concepcion Flores’ 2%, and Hercules Castillo’s 1%, while 1% of those surveyed were still undecided on their chosen candidate. With a margin of error of +/- 1.9%, election observers say that the only way Yap could catch up is through his vaunted limitless financial resources.
Aumentado dominates in the First and Second Districts, while Yap leads in the Third District. Aumentado got a result of 57% of voter’s preference over the Yap’s 39% in the First District, while Aris has 66% over Art’s 32% in the Second District. On the other hand, Yap got a small lead of 49% in the Third District over Aumentado’s 47%.
For the second top position in the province, Vice Governor Rene L. Relampagos has a comfortable lead over Senior Board Member Dionisio Victor Balite, with the former having a result of 56% over the latter’s 43%. 1% of those surveyed said that they are undecided on the two candidates. Relampagos has a lead on all districts 59%, 54%, and 54% in the First, Second, and Third Districts respectively, over Balite’s 40%, 45%, and 45%. Even so, Balite’s latest result is a great improvement from his former voters’ preference of 35% to Relampagos’s 63%.
Two congressional representatives are set to remain in their current positions, while one is expected to replace her husband, who is currently gunning for a higher position. Representative Edgar Chatto of the First District received a comfortable lead of 73% over his opponents Fabio Ontong Jr. (17%) and Marybelle Dela Serna (10%), while Representative Alexie Tutor of the Third District has a lead of 65% over her fellow candidates Kat-kat Lim (34%) and Roger Cadornaga (1%). For the Second District, Maria Vanessa “Van-van” Aumentado, wife of gubernatorial candidate Aris, is set to succeed her husband, with a survey result of 56% over Jaja Jumamoy’s 38%, Gerry Garcia’s 4%, Ramil Melencion’s 0%, and Marc Auza’s 0%.
In the same survey, the leading candidates for Board Member who has a chance to take a seat in the next Sangguniang Panlalawigan of Bohol are the following: Lucille Lagunay (47%), Aldner Damalerio (44%), and Benjie Arcamo (39%) for the First District; Mimi Boniel (44%), Agapito Avenido (38%), and Tommy Abapo (36%) for the Second District; and Greg Jala (37%), Nathaniel Binlod (37%), Elpidio Bonita (36%) and Tita Baja (33%) for the Third District.
Jojo Carlom used to be the Statistical Assistant at SWS and Senior Research Manager at Pulse Asia. It will be recalled that Carlom was among those tapped by USAID under their GOLD Project in training HNU researchers for conducting poll surveys. (PR/jja)
